Business OntologyBusiness Ontology

Workflow · v1.0.0

How to Compare Growth Experiments Before You Run Them

Decide which growth idea to test first with the money and time you have.

What you need

  • • Your list of ideas
  • • Monthly budget and hours
  • • Current conversion and revenue figures

Connections

  • • Optional: analytics or ads accounts for real baselines

Steps

  1. 1. List the ideas

    Write each as a change, the audience it reaches and the number it should move.

  2. 2. Attach evidence

    Note what supports each idea — data, customer quotes, competitor proof — and how strong it is.

  3. 3. Estimate value

    Expected change × the revenue that number drives, using your real baseline.

  4. 4. Cost and time

    What it costs and how long until there's a readable result.

  5. 5. Choose

    Rank by value per dollar and time, respecting your constraints, and set the stop rule.

Illustrative example — three ideas for an online store

Illustrative example, not a customer result.

  • Free shipping over $60: strong evidence (cart data), $400 cost, 3 weeks
  • New Instagram ads: weak evidence, $1,500 cost, 4 weeks
  • Checkout simplification: moderate evidence (drop-off at step 2), $800 cost, 2 weeks
  • Run first: checkout simplification — highest value per dollar and fastest result

What you get

  • • Experiment comparison with evidence strength
  • • Ranked queue
  • • Stop rule for the first test

Known limits

  • • Estimates depend on the baselines you provide.
  • • One test at a time per page keeps results readable.